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Crow Eagle Talks

Monday, July 24, 2006

Middle East Wars

Middle East Wars

For centuries there have been wars in the Middle East. What is taking place in Lebanon is the result of Israel, once a secure and powerful nation that has fought wars successfully in a few brief days, much shorter than the present “war”, to be now involved in battles that are continuing.

No matter how this conflict ends, the Hezbollah will be the winner. The once powerful nation of Israel with its much superior air power and weaponry is now faced with a determined group that is military and has a political identity in Lebanon.

Even if every member of the Hezbollah military were to die, within a few short years another powerful military will come forward as the children of the many individuals who have suffered because of family members who have died or became physical and/or mental casualties. Other Muslim peoples will view the actions of the Hezbollah as heroic; all military deaths will be viewed as act of heroism. The result will be an Israel that will be viewed as a nation that can be successfully fought by an enemy using tactics and with weaponry though inferior, used by a determined foe, will be able to bring the proud nation of Israel to its knees. The economy of Israel will suffer. Many nations of the world will hold contempt for the present over-zealous military actions of the Israelis.

The United States and Britain will suffer a further loss of respect by many nations of the world.  Canada which has marched in lock-step with the Americans will also suffer. Canadian values are different from those held by Americans. Canada has in the past often held its own ground and not followed the US, for example into the war in Iraq.

There can be little doubt that The Americans have wanted this “war” to run longer to give the Israelis time to bring the Hezbollah to a position where no further launching of rockets would be possible. The British have gone along with the American decision not to seek a cease fire at the present time.

To bring the Hezbollah to a point of stopping the launching of rockets is an impossible task. Hezbollah will move farther back and regroup and will continue to using guerilla tactics to harass and “control” the Israelis. Now we have not seen the total power of the Hezbollah. We have not seen the unleashing of other rockets which are more powerful and which have a longer range.

Israel may have some friends in the Middle East who at may condemn the earlier actions of Hezbollah but may turn to the support of Hezbollah and in particular as Hezbollah continues to inflict heavy wounds on the Israelis.

The non-cease fire position of the Americans will do greater damage to Israel, damage that the Israelis had not anticipated. Israel will find itself in a position of being obliged to withdraw before meeting its earlier objectives and it will not stop its warfare without being obliged to complying with a UN resolution. Israel will not stop on its own initiative for that will be a sign of giving up, of having “lost” the battle.

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